Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001024 0.001171 0.001319 0.001481 0.001651 0.001825 0.002015
2025-03-23 0.000844 0.001056 0.001279 0.001529 0.001801 0.002083 0.002399
2025-03-30 0.000674 0.000929 0.001209 0.001532 0.001891 0.002272 0.002705
2025-04-06 0.000556 0.000846 0.001176 0.001568 0.002011 0.002491 0.003041
2025-04-13 0.000481 0.000803 0.001182 0.001642 0.002171 0.002750 0.003421
2025-04-20 0.000350 0.000676 0.001078 0.001581 0.002173 0.002829 0.003600
2025-04-27 0.000241 0.000558 0.000974 0.001512 0.002158 0.002885 0.003748
2025-05-04 0.000196 0.000523 0.000968 0.001557 0.002274 0.003087 0.004058
2025-05-11 0.000120 0.000425 0.000873 0.001486 0.002246 0.003122 0.004177
2025-05-18 0.000059 0.000329 0.000768 0.001395 0.002190 0.003118 0.004247
2025-05-25 0.000028 0.000272 0.000712 0.001362 0.002201 0.003191 0.004403
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000204 0.000630 0.001288 0.002157 0.003195 0.004478
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000150 0.000572 0.001261 0.002193 0.003322 0.004727
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000130 0.000570 0.001314 0.002334 0.003578 0.005135
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000097 0.000538 0.001321 0.002417 0.003765 0.005464
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000078 0.000527 0.001358 0.002538 0.004001 0.005851
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000069 0.000539 0.001430 0.002705 0.004293 0.006307
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000036 0.000473 0.001375 0.002700 0.004372 0.006507
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000012 0.000406 0.001311 0.002680 0.004428 0.006679
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000007 0.000403 0.001354 0.002805 0.004667 0.007069
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000342 0.001288 0.002775 0.004707 0.007218
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001203 0.002713 0.004705 0.007312
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000240 0.001172 0.002728 0.004797 0.007521